DGPRI, a new liver fibrosis assessment index, predicts recurrence of AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection: a single-center retrospective study.

Although patients with alpha-fetoprotein-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (AFPNHCC) have a favorable prognosis, a high risk of postoperative recurrence remains. We developed and validated a novel liver fibrosis assessment index, the direct bilirubin-gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (DGPRI). DGPRI was calculated for each of the 378 patients with AFPNHCC who underwent hepatic resection. The patients were divided into high- and low-score groups using the optimal cutoff value. The Lasso-Cox method was used to identify the characteristics of postoperative recurrence, followed by multivariate Cox regression analysis to determine the independent risk factors associated with recurrence. A nomogram model incorporating the DGPRI was developed and validated. High DGPRI was identified as an independent risk factor (hazard ratio = 2.086) for postoperative recurrence in patients with AFPNHCC. DGPRI exhibited better predictive ability for recurrence 1-5 years after surgery than direct bilirubin and the gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio. The DGPRI-nomogram model demonstrated good predictive ability, with a C-index of 0.674 (95% CI 0.621-0.727). The calibration curves and clinical decision analysis demonstrated its clinical utility. The DGPRI nomogram model performed better than the TNM and BCLC staging systems for predicting recurrence-free survival. DGPRI is a novel and effective predictor of postoperative recurrence in patients with AFPNHCC and provides a superior assessment of preoperative liver fibrosis.

Surgical treatment improves overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma with extrahepatic metastases after conversion therapy: a multicenter retrospective study.

Systemic therapy is typically the primary treatment choice for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with extrahepatic metastases. Some patients may achieve partial response (PR) or complete response (CR) with systemic treatment, leading to the possibility of their primary tumor becoming resectable. This study aimed to investigate whether these patients could achieve longer survival through surgical resection of their primary tumor. We retrospectively collected data from 150 HCC patients with extrahepatic metastases treated at 15 different centers from January 1st, 2015, to November 30th, 2022. We evaluated their overall survival (OS) and progress-free survival (PFS) and analyzed risk factors impacting both OS and PFS were analyzed. Patients who received surgical treatment had longer OS compared to those who did not (median OS 16.5 months vs. 11.3 months). However, there was no significant difference in progression-free survival between the two groups. Portal vein invasion (P = 0.025) was identified as a risk factor for poor prognosis in patients, while effective first-line treatment (P = 0.039) and surgical treatment (P = 0.005) were protective factors. No factors showed statistical significance in the analysis of PFS. Effective first-line treatment (P = 0.027) and surgical treatment (P = 0.006) were both independent protective factors for prolonging patient prognosis, while portal vein invasion was an independent risk factor (P = 0.044). HCC patients with extrahepatic metastases who achieve PR/CR with conversion therapy may experience longer OS through surgical treatment. This study is the first to analyze the clinical outcomes of patients receiving surgical treatment for HCC with extrahepatic metastases.

Construction and Validation of a Novel Nomogram Predicting Recurrence in Alpha-Fetoprotein-Negative Hepatocellular Carcinoma Post-Surgery Using an Innovative Liver Function-Nutrition-Inflammation-Immune (LFNII) Score: A Bicentric Investigation.

Purpose: We developed a nomogram based on the liver function, nutrition, inflammation, and immunity (LFNII) score to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) post-resection in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) exhibiting alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) negativity (AFP ≤20 ng/mL). Patients and Methods: Clinical data of 661 patients diagnosed with alpha-fetoprotein-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (AFP-NHCC) who underwent surgical resection at two medical centers between 2012 and 2021 were collected. A total of 462 and 199 patients served as the training and validation sets, respectively. Pre-operative blood markers were collected and analyzed for LFNII. The LFNII score was formulated using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model. A nomogram model was developed using the training set to incorporate other relevant clinicopathological indicators and predict postoperative recurrence. Model discrimination was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration was evaluated using a calibration curve, and clinical applicability was assessed using clinical decision curve analysis. A comparison with liver cancer staging was performed using the nomogram model. Finally, a cohort study was conducted to validate our findings. Results: We derived the LFNII scores from nine indicators. Elevated LFNII scores correlated with unfavorable clinicopathological features. The LFNII score area under the curve revealed superior predictive efficacy at 1-, 2-, and 5-year RFS intervals, with values of 0.675, 0.658, and 0.633, respectively. Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that a high LFNII score independently increased RFS risk in patients with AFP-NHCC. The C-index of the LFNII-nomogram model was 0.686 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.651-0.721). The nomogram model's clinical application value surpassed that of standard HCC staging systems. Conclusion: The LFNII score-derived nomogram effectively predicted the RFS of patients with AFP-NHCC after curative resection.

Association of preoperative aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index with outcomes and tumour microenvironment among colorectal cancer with liver metastases.

This study aims to investigate applicable robust biomarkers that can improve prognostic predictions for colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) patients receiving simultaneous resection. A total of 1323 CRLM patients from multiple centres were included. The preoperative aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) level from blood of patients were obtained. Patients were stratified into a high APRI group and a low APRI group, and comparisons were conducted by analyzing progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS) and postoperative early recurrence. Tumour samples of CRLM were collected to perform single-cell RNA sequencing and multiplex immunohistochemistry/immunofluorescence (mIHC/IF) to investigate the association of APRI levels and the tumour microenvironment of CRLM. Compared with APRI <0.33, PFS disadvantage (IPTW-adjusted HR = 1.240, P = 0.015) and OS disadvantage (IPTW- adjusted HR = 1.507, P = 0.002) of APRI ≥0.33 were preserved in the IPTW-adjusted Cox hazards regression analyses. An APRI ≥0.25 was associated with a significantly increased risk of postoperative early recurrence after adjustment (IPTW-adjusted OR = 1.486, P = 0.001). The external validation showed consistent results with the training cohort. In the high APRI group, the single-cell RNA sequencing results revealed a heightened malignancy of epithelial cells, the enrichment of inflammatory-like cancer-associated fibroblasts and SPP1+ macrophages associated with activation of malignant cells and fibrotic microenvironment, and a more suppressed-function T cells; mIHC/IF showed that PD1+ CD4+ T cells, FOXP3+ CD4+ T cells, PD1+ CD8+ T cells, FOXP3+ CD8+ T cells, SPP1+ macrophages and iCAFs were significantly increased in the intratumoral region and peritumoral region. This study contributed valuable evidence regarding preoperative APRI for predicting prognoses among CRLM patients receiving simultaneous resection and provided underlying clues supporting the association between APRI and clinical outcomes by single-cell sequencing bioinformatics analysis and mIHC/IF.

HBV integrations reshaping genomic structures promote hepatocellular carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: Hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), mostly characterised by HBV integrations, is prevalent worldwide. Previous HBV studies mainly focused on a few hotspot integrations. However, the oncogenic role of the other HBV integrations remains unclear. This study aimed to elucidate HBV integration-induced tumourigenesis further. DESIGN: Here, we illuminated the genomic structures encompassing HBV integrations in 124 HCCs across ages using whole genome sequencing and Nanopore long reads. We classified a repertoire of integration patterns featured by complex genomic rearrangement. We also conducted a clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeat (CRISPR)-based gain-of-function genetic screen in mouse hepatocytes. We individually activated each candidate gene in the mouse model to uncover HBV integration-mediated oncogenic aberration that elicits tumourigenesis in mice. RESULTS: These HBV-mediated rearrangements are significantly enriched in a bridge-fusion-bridge pattern and interchromosomal translocations, and frequently led to a wide range of aberrations including driver copy number variations in chr 4q, 5p (TERT), 6q, 8p, 16q, 9p (CDKN2A/B), 17p (TP53) and 13q (RB1), and particularly, ultra-early amplifications in chr8q. Integrated HBV frequently contains complex structures correlated with the translocation distance. Paired breakpoints within each integration event usually exhibit different microhomology, likely mediated by different DNA repair mechanisms. HBV-mediated rearrangements significantly correlated with young age, higher HBV DNA level and TP53 mutations but were less prevalent in the patients subjected to prior antiviral therapies. Finally, we recapitulated the TONSL and TMEM65 amplification in chr8q led by HBV integration using CRISPR/Cas9 editing and demonstrated their tumourigenic potentials. CONCLUSION: HBV integrations extensively reshape genomic structures and promote hepatocarcinogenesis (graphical abstract), which may occur early in a patient's life.

The GRAPHS-CRAFITY score: a novel efficacy predictive tool for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with immunotherapy.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate MR features associated with prognosis of unresectable HCC receiving immunotherapy and establish a MR feature-based scoring system to predict efficacy of immunotherapy. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients with unresectable HCC who received immunotherapy at 2 hospitals between August 2018 and February 2022. The last follow-up was October 2022. Clinical variables and MR features were assessed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A new scoring system was constructed based on independent risk factors and the CRAFITY score consisting of AFP (≥ 100 ng/ml) and CRP (≥ 1 mg/dl). And the predictive performance of CRAFITY core and new score were compared by receiver-operating-characteristics curves (ROCs), area under ROCs (AUCs), and calibration curves. RESULTS: A total of 166 patients (55.6 ± 10.4 years) were included in training cohort and 77 patients (55.4 ± 10.7 years) were included in validation cohort. There were significant differences in BCLC stage, max size, macrovascular invasion, intratumoral artery, and enhancing capsule between the 2 groups. Based on independent risk factors (gross GRowtH type, intratumoral fAt, enhancing tumor caPsule, Sex and CRAFITY score), a novel efficacy predictive tool named the GRAPHS-CRAFITY score was developed to predict OS. The OS was significantly different among the 3 groups according to GRAPHS-CRAFITY score (p value < 0.001). The GRAPHS-CRAFITY score could predict tumor response and disease control (p value < 0.001, p value < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The GRAPHS-CRAFITY score is a reliable and easily applicable tool to predict the efficacy of unresectable HCC receiving immunotherapy.

Impact of primary tumor resection and metastasectomy among gastroentero-pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors with liver metastases only on survival.

BACKGROUND: Despite recommendations for primary tumor resection (PTR) with or without liver resection (LR) in the patients with gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs) and isolated liver metastases, there are conflicting data for their impact on overall survival (OS). METHODS: 2320 patients with GEP-NETs and isolated liver metastases were identified from NCDB. Multiple imputations were used to accommodate missing data, and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was conducted to minimize bias. RESULTS: Patients with PTR had a greater OS than those without PTR (3-year rate of 88.6% vs. 69.9%, P < 0.001), which was preserved in the adjusted analysis (IPTW-adjusted HR = 0.387, 95% CI: 0.264-0.567; P < 0.001). Patients with LR had a greater OS than those without LR (3-year rate 87.7% vs. 75.2%, P = 0.003), which was also preserved in adjusted analysis (IPTW-adjusted HR = 0.450, 95% CI: 0.229-0.885; P = 0.021). Patients undergoing both PTR and LR had the greatest survival advantage than those with other surgical interventions (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Either PTR or LR is associated with improved survival for GEP-NET patients with isolated liver metastases. However, there remains significant selection bias in the current study, and caution should be exercised when selecting patients for resection.

The MAPS-CRAFITY score: a novel efficacy predictive tool for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with targeted therapy plus immunotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Body composition parameters (BCPs) are associated with mortality in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our purpose was to develop a practical scoring model by BCP and the CRAFITY score to predict the overall survival (OS) and tumor response of patients with HCC who received targeted therapy plus immunotherapy. METHODS: This retrospective study included 265 patients with HCC who received targeted therapy plus immunotherapy at 2 centers in China from August 2018 to February 2022. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were applied to analyze clinical factors and BCP. A scoring model based on independent risk factors was developed to predict OS and tumor response. Moreover, the model's prediction was further validated by an external cohort. RESULTS: A total of 150 patients (55.5 ± 10.8 years) and 115 patients (55.0 ± 8.9 years) treated with lenvatinib or bevacizumab biosimilar plus anti-programmed death-1 (PD-1) antibody were included in training and validation cohorts, respectively. In the training cohort, independent predictive factors for OS included macrovascular invasion (p = 0.016), Child‒Pugh class (A vs. B, p = 0.001; A vs. C, p < 0.001), sarcopenia (p = 0.034), and the CRAFITY score (p = 0.011). Based on independent risk factors (MAcrovascular invasion, Child‒Pugh class, Sarcopenia, and the CRAFITY score) identified by multivariate analysis, a novel efficacy predictive tool named the MAPS-CRAFITY score was developed to predict OS. In all the training and validation cohorts, the OS differed significantly across the three groups based on the MAPS-CRAFITY score (< 2.1, 2.1-2.3, ≥ 2.4; p < 0.001). Moreover, the C-index of the MAPS-CRAFITY score was 0.720 and 0.761 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. In both the validation and training cohorts, the MAPS-CRAFITY score was predictive of tumor response and disease control (p < 0.001). The AUCs of the MAPS-CRAFITY score for predicting disease control were 0.752 in the training cohort and 0.836 in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The MAPS-CRAFITY score based on sarcopenia and the CRAFITY score is a reliable and practical tool for predicting the efficacy of targeted therapy plus immunotherapy in patients with unresectable HCC, and may help hepatologists and oncologists in clinical decision-making.

Abnormal generation of IL-17A represses tumor infiltration of stem-like exhausted CD8+ T cells to demote the antitumor immunity.

BACKGROUND: Variated anti-cancer therapies are combined with immune checkpoint blockades (ICBs) for improving ICB therapeutic efficacy. Occurrence of tissue damage is common that triggers multiple inflammatory cytokine generation. Gastrointestinal organs are the commonly affected. We investigated the impact of acute colitis on tumor infiltration of antigen-specific CD8+ cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs) for controlling tumor growth and responding to antibody against PD-1 (anti-PD-1). METHODS: Several tumor cell lines were inoculated into syngeneic mice subcutaneously or intra-hepatically. When tumor mass formed, activated CTLs were intravenously transferred into the tumor-bearing mice, that were given the drinking water containing 2% dextran sulfate sodium (DSS) for acute colitis induction. Tumor growth, infiltration of two exhausted CTL subsets, and the CTL interaction with tumor vascular endothelium were examined. RESULTS: Acute colitis dampened CTL-mediated antitumor effects, correlating with IL-17A elevation in the inflamed intestine. In the tumor bed, stem-like exhausted CTLs, which were defined as PD-1+Slamf6+Tim3-, expressed higher IL-17A receptor heterodimers and lower leukocyte function-associated antigen-1 (LFA-1) than terminally exhausted CTLs did, that were defined as PD-1+Slamf6-Tim3+. IL-17A stimulation reduced LFA-1 surface expression on stem-like exhausted CTLs and the counterpart ICAM-1 (intracellular adhesion molecule-1) on tumor vascular endothelium. IL-17A stimulation suppressed the extravasation across tumor vascular endothelium and self-renewal of stem-like, not the terminally exhausted CTLs. Administration of anti-IL-17A neutralizing antibody to the colitis mice restored the CTL tumor infiltration and enhanced anti-PD-1 treatment efficacy against tumors. In 33 hepatocellular carcinoma patients being treated with anti-PD-1 plus antibody against vascular endothelial growth factor, disease progression of 15 patients, that exhibited serum IL-17A increase 24 h post-therapy as compared to pre-therapy level, was poorer than that of 18 patients that exhibited serum IL-17A no-increase. CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal generation of IL-17A mainly repressed tumor infiltration of stem-like exhausted CTLs. ICB-based immunotherapeutic efficacy could be upgraded with administration of anti-IL-17A, when treatment-related IL-17A elevation occurred due to tissue damage, such as acute colitis.

Nomogram predicting early recurrence defined by the minimum P value approach for colorectal liver metastasis patients receiving colorectal cancer resection with simultaneous liver metastasis resection: development and validation.

Background: Simultaneous resections have been increasingly performed for colorectal liver metastasis patients. However, studies explored risk stratification for these patients are scarce. Among which, a clear definition of early recurrence remains controversial and models for predicting early recurrence in these patients are lacking. Methods: Colorectal liver metastasis patients who developed recurrence followed by simultaneous resection were enrolled. Early recurrence was determined by the minimum P value method, and patients were divided into an early recurrence group and late recurrence group. Standard clinical data were collected from each patient including demographics features, preoperative laboratory tests and postoperative regular follow-up results. All the data were accessed by clinicians and recorded accordingly. The nomogram for early recurrence was constructed in the training cohort and validated externally in the test cohort. Results: The optimal value of early recurrence by the minimum P value method was 13 months. A total of 323 patients were included in the training cohort, of which 241 (74.6%) experienced early recurrence. Seventy-one patients were included in the test cohort, of which 49 (69.0%) experienced early recurrence. Significantly worse post-recurrence survival (median 27.0 vs. 52.8 months, P=0.00083) and overall survival (median 33.8 vs. 70.9 months, P<0.0001) were observed in patients with early recurrence in the training cohort. Positive lymph node metastases (P=0.003), tumour burden scores ≥4.09 (P=0.001), preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios ≥1.44 (P=0.006), preoperative blood urea nitrogen levels ≥3.55 µmol/L (P=0.017) and postoperative complications (P=0.042) were independently associated with early recurrence, and all these predictors were included in the nomogram. The nomogram for predicting early recurrence had a receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.720 in the training cohort and a receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.740 in the test cohort. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curves showed acceptable model calibration in the training set (P=0.7612) and in the test set (P=0.8671). The decision curve analysis results for the training cohort and test cohort also indicated that the nomogram showed good clinical applicability. Conclusions: Our findings provide clinicians with new insights into accurate risk stratification for colorectal liver metastasis patients receiving simultaneous resection and contributing to the management of patients.

An elevated preoperative cholesterol-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts unfavourable outcomes in colorectal cancer liver metastasis patients receiving simultaneous resections: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: To explore the clinical prognostic utility of the preoperative cholesterol-to-lymphocyte ratio (CLR) in outcomes for colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) patients receiving simultaneous resection of the primary lesion and liver metastases. METHODS: A total of 444 CRLM patients receiving simultaneous resections were enrolled. The optimal cut-off value for CLR was determined using the highest Youden's index. Patients were divided into the CLR < 3.06 group and the CLR≥3.06 group. Propensity score matching analysis (PSM) and the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method were conducted to eliminate bias between the two groups. The outcomes included short-term outcomes and long-term outcomes. Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests were used to analyse progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: In the short-term outcome analysis, after 1:1 PSM, 137 patients were distributed to the CLR < 3.06 group and CLR≥3.06 group. No significant difference was noted between the two groups (P > 0.1). Compared with patients with CLR < 3.06, patients with CLR≥3.06 had comparable operation times (320.0 [272.5-421.0] vs. 360.0 [292.5-434.5], P = 0.088), blood loss (200.0 [100.0-400.0] vs. 200.0 [150.0-450.0], P = 0.831), postoperative complication rates (50.4% vs. 46.7%, P = 0.546) and postoperative ICU rates (5.8% vs. 11.7%, P = 0.087). In the long-term outcome analysis, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that compared with patients with CLR < 3.06, patients with CLR≥3.06 had worse PFS (P = 0.005, median: 10.2 months vs. 13.0 months) and OS (P = 0.002, median: 41.0 months vs. 70.9 months). IPTW-adjusted Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the CLR≥3.06 group had worse PFS (P = 0.027) and OS (P = 0.010) than the CLR < 3.06 group. In the IPTW-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, CLR≥3.06 was an independent factor for PFS (HR = 1.376, 95% CI 1.097-1.726, P = 0.006) and OS (HR = 1.723, 95% CI 1.218-2.439, P = 0.002). IPTW-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression analysis including postoperative complications, operation time, intraoperative blood loss, intraoperative blood transfusion and postoperative chemotherapy revealed that CLR≥3.06 was an independent factor for PFS (HR = 1.617, 95% CI 1.252-2.090, P < 0.001) and OS (HR = 1.823, 95% CI 1.258-2.643, P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: The preoperative CLR level predicts unfavourable outcomes in CRLM patients receiving simultaneous resection of the primary lesion and liver metastases and should be taken into consideration when developing treatment and monitoring strategies.

Nomogram for tumour response based on prospective cohorts of hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving immunotherapy combined with targeted therapy: development and validation.

Background: Although immunotherapy combined with targeted therapy can be effective for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), not all HCC patients respond to this treatment. Models for predicting tumour response in HCC patients receiving immunotherapy combined with targeted therapy are lacking. Methods: A total of 221 HCC patients from two independent prospective cohorts were retrospectively reviewed. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts at a ratio of 7:3. Standard clinical data were collected from each patient, including age, sex, hepatitis B infection status, laboratory tests, and immune target-related adverse events (itrAEs). Tumour responses were evaluated using the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours (RECIST) v1.1 guidelines. ItrAEs were assessed based on the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 4.0. The nomogram for tumour response prediction was constructed based on the results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis, areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) were used to determine the sensitivity and specificity of the model, and calibration plots and Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square tests were performed to assess the calibration of the model. Results: In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, a solitary tumour (P=0.006), neutropenia (P=0.003) and hypertension (P=0.042) independently predicted objective response (OR). A nomogram for OR was established with AUROCs of 0.734, 0.675, 0.730, and 0.707 in the training, validation, first-line and second-line treatment sets, respectively. Tumour sizes less than 5 cm (P=0.005), a solitary tumour (P=0.037), prognostic nutritional indices greater than or equal to 54.3 (P=0.037), neutropenia (P=0.004) and fatigue (P=0.041) independently predicted disease control (DC). A nomogram for DC was established with AUROCs of 0.804, 0.667, and 0.768 in the training, first-line and second-line treatment sets, respectively. All the Hosmer-Lemeshow tests and calibration curves showed acceptable calibration. Conclusions: The current provides clinicians with new insights into selecting patients for immunotherapy combined with targeted therapy and contributes to the development of immunotherapy for HCC. It is necessary to expand the scale of our research and perform prospective studies to verify our findings.

Prognostic significance of the preoperative alkaline phosphatase­to­albumin ratio in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection.

This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of the preoperative alkaline phosphatase-to-albumin ratio (APAR) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent radical hepatectomy. The clinicopathological data from 330 patients was retrospectively analyzed. Receiver operating characteristic curves of APAR for diagnostic tumor recurrence were plotted with a cut-off value of 1.74. A high preoperative APAR value was significantly associated with hepatitis B surface antigen level, tumor diameter, and tumor-node-metastasis stage. The disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients with a high preoperative APAR were shorter than those with a low APAR. The independent risk factors for DFS were an APAR ≥1.74, and macrovascular invasion or tumor thrombus. The independent risk factors for OS were an APAR ≥1.74, existing clinical symptoms, α-fetoprotein level ≥20 ng/ml, macrovascular invasion or tumor thrombus, and family history of cancer. In conclusion, a preoperative APAR (≥1.74) is an independent risk factor influencing the poor prognosis of patients with HCC after curative hepatectomy, and patients with such a result should be closely monitored.

Primary tumor resection improves survival of gastrointestinal neuroendocrine carcinoma patients with nonresected liver metastases.

BACKGROUND: The role of primary tumor resection (PTR) in the survival of gastrointestinal neuroendocrine carcinoma (GI-NEC) patients with liver metastases only remains poorly defined. Therefore, we investigated the impact of PTR on the survival of GI-NEC patients with nonresected liver metastases. METHODS: GI-NEC patients with a liver-confined metastatic disease diagnosed between 2016 and 2018 were identified in the National Cancer Database. Multiple imputations by chained equations were used to account for missing data, and the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method was used to eliminate selection bias. Overall survival (OS) was compared by adjusted Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank test with IPTW. RESULTS: A total of 767 GI-NEC patients with nonresected liver metastases were identified. Among all patients, 177 (23.1%) received PTR and had a significantly favorable OS before (median: 43.6 months [interquartile range, IQR, 10.3-64.4] vs. 8.8 months [IQR, 2.1-23.1], p < 0.001 in log-rank test) and after (median: 25.7 months [IQR, 10.0-64.4] vs. 9.3 months [IQR, 2.2-26.4], p < 0.001 in IPTW-adjusted log-rank test) the IPTW adjustment. Additionally, this survival advantage persisted in an adjusted Cox model (IPTW adjusted hazard ratio = 0.431, 95% confidence interval: 0.332-0.560; p < 0.001). The improved survival persisted in subgroups stratified by primary tumor site, tumor grade, and N stage, even in the complete cohort (excluding patients with missing data). CONCLUSIONS: PTR led to improved survival for GI-NEC patients with nonresected liver metastases regardless of primary tumor site, tumor grade, and N stage. However, the decision for PTR should be made on an individualized basis following multidisciplinary evaluation.

Molecular diagnosis of pancreatobiliary tract cancer by detecting mutations and methylation changes in bile samples.

Background: Patients with pancreatobiliary tract cancer usually have a poor clinical outcome, with a 5-year overall survival rate below 20%. This is mainly associated with the late diagnosis. In addition, the standard-of-care for patients with malignant biliary stenosis involves a major surgery, the Whipple procedure. An accurate preoperative diagnosis, including differentiation from benign diseases, is critical to avoid unnecessary treatment. Here we developed BileScreen, a sensitive detection modality for the diagnosis of pancreatobiliary tract cancer based on massively parallel sequencing mutation and methylation changes in bile samples. Methods: A total of 338 patients, from five hospitals in China, with pancreatobiliary system disorders were enrolled in this study between November 2018 and October 2020, and 259 were included for the analysis of BileScreen. We profiled 23 gene mutations and 44 genes with methylation modifications in parallel from bile samples, and set up a model for the detection of malignancy based on multi-level biomarkers. Findings: We applied the BileScreen assay in a training cohort (n = 104) to set up the model and algorithm. The model was further evaluated in a validation cohort (n = 105), resulting in 92% sensitivity and 98% specificity. The performance of BileScreen was further assessed in a prospective test cohort (n = 50) of patients diagnosed with suspicious or negative pathology by endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography and were confirmed in follow-up. BileScreen yielded 90% sensitivity and 80% specificity, and outcompeted serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 in detecting pancreatobiliary tract cancer in all three cohorts, especially in terms of specificity. Interpretation: Taken together, BileScreen has the ability to interrogate mutations and methylation changes in bile samples in parallel, thus rendering it a potentially sensitive detection method to help in the diagnosis of pancreatobiliary tract cancer in a safe, convenient and less-invasive manner. Funding: This study was supported by the Capital's Funds for Health Improvement and Research (2020-2-4025 to S.H.), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81972311 to H.Z.), CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS) (2017-12M-4-002 to H.Z.), the CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences(CIFMS) (2021-I2M-1-066 to CJQ), the Non-profit Central Research Institution Fund of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (2019PT310026 to H.Z.) and Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen (SZSM202011010 to H.Z.).

Adverse Events of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor-Based Therapies for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Prospective Clinical Trials: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Background: The aim of the study was to investigate the incidence and spectrum of adverse events in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) or ICI-based combinations. Summary: The study protocol was prospectively registered on PROSPERO (CRD42022319255). We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library for published clinical trials from database inception to April 22, 2022. Studies that included at least one group of unresectable HCC patients treated with ICIs or ICI-based combinations and reported the incidence or spectrum of treatment-related adverse events (trAEs) or immune-related adverse events (irAEs) were eligible. The incidence and spectra of all-grade and grade ≥3 trAEs were the primary outcomes. The profiles of irAEs, the incidence of trAEs leading to treatment discontinuation, and treatment-related mortalities were additional outcomes. We applied random-effects models to pool the incidence and spectra of adverse events. Subgroup analyses and meta-regression were performed. The literature search identified 2,464 records. Twenty studies (4,146 participants with HCC) met the eligibility criteria. The pooled incidences of all-grade trAEs, grade ≥3 trAEs, all-grade irAEs, and grade ≥3 irAEs were 80.1% (95% CI: 73.8-85.2), 35.4% (95% CI: 27.2-44.6), 31.1% (95% CI: 21.0-43.5), and 6.6% (95% CI: 3.6-11.8), respectively. ICIs plus oral targeted agents (all-grade OR = 17.07, 95% CI: 6.05-48.16, p < 0.001; grade ≥3 OR = 9.35, 95% CI: 4.53-19.29, p < 0.001) and ICIs plus intravenous targeted agents (all-grade OR = 4.91, 95% CI: 1.80-13.42, p = 0.003; grade ≥3 OR = 4.21, 95% CI: 1.42-12.48, p = 0.012) were associated with increased trAEs compared with monotherapy. The all-grade trAEs with the highest pooled incidences were reactive capillary endothelial proliferation (49.2%, 95% CI: 26.3-72.3), neutropenia (34.6%, 95% CI: 17.1-57.5), and proteinuria (32.8%, 95% CI: 19.8-49.2). The grade ≥3 trAEs with the highest pooled incidences were hypertension (11.1%, 95% CI: 4.0-29.0), neutropenia (10.5%, 95% CI: 7.0-15.4), and increased aspartate aminotransferase (7.7%, 95% CI: 6.3-9.4). The pooled incidence of trAEs leading to treatment discontinuation was 8.0% (95% CI: 6.0-10.5), and the overall incidence of treatment-related mortalities was 1.1%. Key Messages: This study comprehensively summarized the incidence and spectrum of trAEs in unresectable HCC patients receiving ICIs or ICI-based combinations in clinical trials. The results from this study will provide a useful reference to guide clinical practice.

Optimal surgical sequence for colorectal cancer liver metastases patients receiving colorectal cancer resection with simultaneous liver metastasis resection: A multicentre retrospective propensity score matching study.

BACKGROUND: There is little evidence regarding the optimal surgical sequence for colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) patients undergoing colorectal resection with simultaneous liver metastasis resection. METHODS: CRLM patients from five centers were retrospectively evaluated. The short-term outcomes included intraoperative and postoperative outcomes. Postoperative complications were measured according to the Clavien-Dindo classification. Grade I to II complications were defined as minor postoperative complications. The long-term outcomes were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) were performed to overcome the selection bias between colorectal resection first and liver resection first. RESULTS: A total of 1255 CRLM patients were included. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, a body mass index (BMI) < 24 kg/m2, primary site in the left hemicolon, non-bilobar distribution of liver metastases and no preoperative chemotherapy were significantly associated with the likelihood of colorectal resection first. After 1:1 PSM, there was no significant difference between the colorectal resection first group and the liver resection first group. Compared with patients with colorectal resection first, patients with liver resection first had a comparable postoperative infection rate (15.0% vs. 16.0%, P = 0.735), a longer operation time (305.0 [231.3-416.0] vs. 300.0 [225.0-374.0], P = 0.033), more intraoperative blood loss (200.0 [150.0-400.0] vs. 100.0 [100.0-300.0], P < 0.001), a higher postoperative minor complication rate (28.7% vs. 20.7%, P = 0.023) and a higher postoperative ICU rate (14.7% vs. 8.7%, P = 0.022). IPTW-adjusted Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients who underwent colorectal resection first had a similar PFS (P = 0.702, median: 20.6 months vs. 16.6 months) and unfavourable OS (P = 0.014, median: 48.5 months vs. 67.0 months) compared with patients who underwent liver resection first. In the IPTW-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, colorectal resection first was an unfavourable risk factor for OS (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.301, 95% CI 1.048-1.616, P = 0.017) and was not an independent predictor for PFS (HR = 0.986, 95% CI 0.831-1.170, P = 0.874). IPTW-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, including postoperative complications, operation time, intraoperative blood loss and postoperative chemotherapy, produced consistent results. CONCLUSION: Although violating the "sterility principle", patients who underwent colorectal resection first did not have an increased postoperative infection rate and had some better short-term outcomes and comparable PFS than those who underwent liver resection first.

Neoadjuvant radiotherapy for resectable hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein tumor thrombus: a systematic review.

Background: The prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) is extremely poor. The clinical outcome of preoperative radiotherapy (RT) is still controversial. This study aimed to compare the clinical outcomes of combined neoadjuvant RT and hepatectomy with hepatectomy alone for HCC with PVTT. Methods: Comprehensive database searches were performed in PubMed, the Cochrane Library, EMBASE, and the Web of Science to retrieve studies published from the database creation to July 1, 2020. Only comparative studies that measured survival between neoadjuvant RT followed by hepatectomy and hepatectomy alone were included. The characteristics of the included studies and patients were extracted, and the included data are presented as relative ratio (RR) estimates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all outcomes. The RRs of each study were pooled using a fixed or random effects model with Review Manager (the Cochrane Collaboration, Oxford, UK) version 5.3. The response rate to RT and the overall survival (OS) rate in neoadjuvant RT followed by hepatectomy and hepatectomy alone were measured. Results: One randomized and two non-randomized controlled trials with 302 patients were included. Most patients were classified as Child-Pugh A, and Type II and III PVTT were the most common types. After RT, 29 (22.8%) patients were evaluated as partial response (PR) and had a positive RT response, but nine (7.1%) had progressive disease (PD). Neoadjuvant RT followed by hepatectomy was received by 127 (42.1%) patients after excluding 15 (5.0%) patients with severe complications or PD after RT, and 160 (53.0%) patients received hepatectomy alone. In the randomized controlled trial (RCT), the 1-year OS rate in the neoadjuvant RT group and the surgery alone group was 75.2% and 43.1%, respectively (P<0.001). In the two non-randomized studies, a meta-analysis with a fixed effects model showed a longer OS in patients undergoing neoadjuvant RT followed by hepatectomy compared with hepatectomy alone at 1-year follow-up (RR =2.02; 95% CI: 1.45-2.80; P<0.0001). Conclusions: This systematic review showed that neoadjuvant RT followed by hepatectomy in patients with resectable HCC and PVTT was associated with a longer OS than patients who received hepatectomy alone.

AST·MLR index and operation injury condition are novel prognostic predictor for the prediction of survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases undergoing surgical resection.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic values of preoperative aspartate aminotransferase (AST), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), AST·MLR index (AMLRI) and operation injury condition in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) remains unclear. This retrospective study assessed the relationship between these markers, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) in CRLM patients undergoing resection. METHODS: AMLRI was defined as AST × MLR. Operation injury condition was defined according to operation time and blood loss. Cox regression analyses were used to identify risk factors and to develop nomograms. C-indexes, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (time-ROC) curves and calibration curves were used to assess the models. RESULTS: A total of 379 patients were enrolled. The optimal cut-off value of the AMLRI was 3.33. In the multivariable analysis, AMLRI > 3.33 (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.162, p = 0.002) and serious operation injury condition (HR = 1.539, p = 0.012) were predictive for unfavourable OS, and AMLRI > 3.33 (HR = 1.462, p = 0.021) was predictive for unfavourable PFS. The nomograms were superior to Fong's Clinical Risk Score (CRS) according to the C-indexes (PFS: 0.682 vs. 0.600; OS: 0.730 vs. 0.586) and time-ROCs. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative AMLRI and operation injury condition are easily accessible predictors for prognosis. The nomograms performed better than CRS for the prediction of recurrence and survival.